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Category Archives: Investment

It’s only business investment which can save the economy

This is the substance of an economic forecast just released by the Ernst & Young ITEM Club. Whilst acknowledging that the UK may have been saved from a double dip recession by a ‘loose’ monetary policy, the ITEM Club believes that UK GDP growth will be a dismal 0.4% this year, before rising to 1.5% in 2013 and 2.6% in … Continue reading

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Prospects for growth worsen

The Confederation of British Industry (CBI) has slashed its forecasts for growth in the UK. It had previously predicted that we would see growth of 1.3% this year and 2.2% in 2012, but these have now been reduced to only 0.9% this year and 1.2% next year. The CBI does not believe that we will slip back into recession this … Continue reading

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Our infrastructure is inferior to EU rivals say UK businesses

The Government must act now to attract vital new investment into the UK’s ageing infrastructure. Swift investment across Britain’s road and rail networks, digital, waste and energy would ensure we remain internationally competitive and kick-start UK growth, the CBI said today. A major new survey of 477 businesses, conducted in partnership with KPMG, shows that 58% rate the UK’s infrastructure … Continue reading

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Setback in global financial stability says IMF

Progress to restore global financial stability has suffered a setback in advanced economies, the International Monetary Fund said in its latest Global Financial Stability Report, with markets still sensitive to negative surprises. The IMF says that although we can continue to expect a recovery and a gradual improvement in financial stability, considerable risks still remain. These risks were summarized as: … Continue reading

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Record UK trade gap

The deficit on trade in goods widened to £8.7bn in July, which is the biggest monthly figure since this current series of measurement began in 1998. This deficit compares with one of £7.5bn in June according to figures published yesterday by the Office of National Statistics. The UK’s balance of trade on goods and services also widened from £3.6bn in … Continue reading

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Government spending and crowding out

The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) in the US has just revised a forecast it made for the effect of the government deficit and debt on the crowding out of investment. They were taken to task for figures which seemed to overstate the relationship, which had given ammunition to some commentators who are in favour of severe cutbacks in government expenditure. … Continue reading

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Massive fall in business investment

Business investment in the last quarter of 2009 was 24.1% down on the same period of 2008. Not only has investment fallen by a quarter, but it is continuing to fall. The figures for the fourth quarter of last year were actually 5.8% down on the previous quarter. The fall in business investment was evident across most industries, although there … Continue reading

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International investment collapses in 2009, says OECD

International mergers and acquisitions are forecast to decline by 56% in 2009 compared with 2008, the largest year-on-year decline since 1995. This estimate is based on OECD analysis of data for international M&A activity up to 26 November 2009.   This fall is largely due to the 60% decline in value of cross-border merger and acquisitions (M&A) by firms based … Continue reading

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Sharp fall in business investment

Just when we were seeing some positive signs of recovery it appears that business is not joining in – at least as far as capital investment is concerned. Business investment for the second quarter of 2009 is 10.4% lower than the previous quarter and 18.4% down on the same period last year, according to figures just published by the ONS. … Continue reading

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It was worse than we thought

Yesterday the ONS produced revised figures for GDP growth in the first quarter of 2009. Their original estimate had been that GDP fell by 1.9% but this has now been revised downwards to 2.4%. This was the biggest quarterly fall for 51 years.   It is reasonable that revisions have to be made retrospectively, but we are not used to … Continue reading

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